Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Arizona
Big Sky
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#202
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#193
Pace66.8#155
Improvement+2.7#65

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#202
Improvement+0.7#143

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#202
Improvement+1.9#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 24   @ Xavier L 60-93 6%     0 - 1 -17.6 +7.7 +7.7
  Nov 16, 2014 93   @ Toledo L 58-71 18%     0 - 2 -5.4 +3.8 +3.8
  Nov 20, 2014 189   Fresno St. W 73-52 59%     1 - 2 +16.7 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 23, 2014 44   @ Mississippi L 74-80 9%     1 - 3 +6.7 +6.3 +6.3
  Nov 25, 2014 150   @ Middle Tennessee L 53-65 28%     1 - 4 -8.1 +2.0 +2.0
  Nov 28, 2014 284   Southern W 70-63 OT 67%     2 - 4 +0.4 -3.3 -3.3
  Nov 29, 2014 132   NC Central L 36-40 34%     2 - 5 -1.8 +1.1 +1.1
  Dec 03, 2014 205   Texas San Antonio L 83-88 OT 62%     2 - 6 -10.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 13, 2014 238   Loyola Marymount W 71-69 69%     3 - 6 -5.2 -3.6 -3.6
  Dec 16, 2014 60   @ St. Mary's W 73-71 12%     4 - 6 +12.8 +5.4 +5.4
  Dec 19, 2014 212   @ Norfolk St. L 62-81 40%     4 - 7 -18.4 +0.3 +0.3
  Dec 21, 2014 265   @ Hampton L 66-75 53%     4 - 8 -11.7 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 01, 2015 216   @ Sacramento St. L 73-78 41%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -4.7 +0.1 +0.1
  Jan 03, 2015 264   @ Portland St. W 73-60 52%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +10.3 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 10, 2015 311   Southern Utah W 70-67 82%     6 - 9 2 - 1 -8.9 -6.0 -6.0
  Jan 15, 2015 273   Weber St. L 65-74 74%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -17.8 -4.4 -4.4
  Jan 17, 2015 312   Idaho St. W 72-69 83%     7 - 10 3 - 2 -9.1 -6.0 -6.0
  Jan 22, 2015 174   @ Montana L 57-64 34%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -4.7 +1.1 +1.1
  Jan 24, 2015 319   @ Montana St. W 71-64 69%     8 - 11 4 - 3 -0.2 -3.6 -3.6
  Jan 31, 2015 311   @ Southern Utah W 81-60 66%     9 - 11 5 - 3 +14.8 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 05, 2015 257   Northern Colorado W 65-60 72%     10 - 11 6 - 3 -3.2 -4.1 -4.1
  Feb 07, 2015 318   North Dakota W 88-63 84%     11 - 11 7 - 3 +12.1 -6.4 -6.4
  Feb 12, 2015 312   @ Idaho St. L 66-80 66%     11 - 12 7 - 4 -20.3 -3.2 -3.2
  Feb 14, 2015 273   @ Weber St. W 61-54 54%     12 - 12 8 - 4 +3.9 -1.5 -1.5
  Feb 19, 2015 240   Idaho W 72-65 69%     13 - 12 9 - 4 -0.3 -3.7 -3.7
  Feb 21, 2015 143   Eastern Washington W 73-69 48%     14 - 12 10 - 4 +2.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Feb 26, 2015 318   @ North Dakota W 85-75 69%     15 - 12 11 - 4 +2.9 -3.6 -3.6
  Feb 28, 2015 257   @ Northern Colorado L 74-76 52%     15 - 13 11 - 5 -4.4 -1.2 -1.2
  Mar 05, 2015 264   Portland St. W 58-51 73%     16 - 13 12 - 5 -1.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Mar 07, 2015 216   Sacramento St. W 70-68 63%     17 - 13 13 - 5 -3.5 -2.7 -2.7
  Mar 12, 2015 257   Northern Colorado W 63-57 62%     18 - 13 +0.7 -2.7 -2.7
  Mar 13, 2015 174   @ Montana L 59-61 34%     18 - 14 +0.3 +1.1 +1.1
Projected Record 18.0 - 14.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%